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The Second Session of the East Asia winter Climate Outlook Forum (EASCOF-2)
(29 – 31 October 2014)

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has initiated the Regional Climate Outlook Forum (RCOF), which brings together the experts from a climatologically homogeneous region and provides consensus-based climate prediction and information for the season having socio-economic significance. As a new WMO sub-RCOF, the East Asia winter Climate Outlook Forum (EASCOF) was jointly established by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), and Mongolia's National Agency for Meteorology and Environment Monitoring (NAMEM) in 2012.

The second session of EASCOF (EASCOF-2) took place at JMA's headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, from 29 to 31 October 2014. More than 30 experts from China, Japan, Mongolia and the Republic of Korea attended the event, sharing information on the current status and future plans for seasonal forecasting service in individual National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs). The participants also shared their recent understandings on phenomena related to seasonal prediction of the East Asian winter monsoon, and discussed seasonal outlooks for the coming winter. The session's discussions are expected to be useful for participating NMHSs in the formulation of their own seasonal outlooks.

Recent research findings presented at the event helped to enhance understanding of phenomena related to the East Asian winter monsoon and related predictability. These phenomena include the global warming hiatus, interaction between the troposphere and the stratosphere, ENSO and the influence of Arctic sea ice.

Forum materials are available on the EASCOF portal.

Participants with JMA Global Environment and Marine Department Director-General Dr. Tatsuo Yokoyama
Dr. Tatsuo Yokoyama's opening address at EASCOF-2.
Presentations at the Forum
Discussion and summary seasonal outlooks for winter 2014/2015